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McAuliffe has played up Trump’s endorsement of Youngkin and used Youngkin’s opposition to vaccine and mask mandates and the Republican nominee’s support for supposed “ election integrity” efforts that question the validity of the 2020 election as evidence that Youngkin is a chip off the old Trump block. However, The Washington Post/Schar School’s final survey suggested - to Youngkin’s potential benefit - that the coronavirus has become a less pressing issue since September, as education and the economy clearly led the way as the top issues for likely voters, while the pandemic faded to a distant third.īut McAuliffe isn’t just campaigning on the pandemic one of his chief approaches has been to link Youngkin to former President Trump to motivate Democrats and keep independent voters at an arm’s length from Youngkin. Virginians are more likely to support vaccine requirements for professions such as teachers and health care workers, and in most polls have said McAuliffe would handle the pandemic best. Meanwhile, McAuliffe has continued to score better on COVID-19.

Fox News’s recent poll also found likely voters trusted Youngkin more on education, a shift from two weeks earlier when its poll found McAuliffe narrowly ahead on the issue, while the Washington Post/Schar School survey found the candidates running even on the issue even though voters had previously trusted McAuliffe more than Youngkin in their early September poll. This could pay off for Youngkin, too, as USA Today/Suffolk found that 50 percent of likely voters thought parents should have more influence on school curricula than school boards, while 39 percent said school boards should have more influence. (The ad doesn’t mention the title, but it was Toni Morrison’s Pulitzer-Prize-winning “Beloved,” a novel dealing with the horrors of slavery.)

His campaign has run ads criticizing McAuliffe for saying in a recent debate that he didn’t “think parents should be telling schools what they should teach.” McAuliffe was defending his 2016 veto of legislation that would have allowed parents to have their children “opt out” from reading school books with sexually explicit content, but McAuliffe is clearly concerned about Youngkin’s line of attack, as he’s countered with his own ad in which he says he’s “always valued the concerns of parents.” But in an effort not to give McAuliffe the final word on the matter, Youngkin closed his campaign with an ad featuring a woman criticizing McAuliffe’s veto because her son had to read an explicit book in a college-level high school English course. Youngkin has also homed in on education in an attempt to capitalize on debates over how race is taught in schools. In fact, McAuliffe’s victory marked the first for the president’s party in a Virginia gubernatorial race since the GOP won in 1973, during Richard Nixon’s presidency.Ģ021 Elections Live Updates And Results Read more. Obama’s approval numbers were nearly identical to Biden’s right now, yet McAuliffe still managed to win. He was in the same position in 2013 when another unpopular Democratic president, Barack Obama, was in the White House. Of course, this is hardly new territory for McAuliffe. The final poll from Christopher Newport University’s Wason Center found that 80 percent of Republicans were “very enthusiastic” about voting, compared with just 65 percent of Democrats. It’s also dampened enthusiasm among Democrats. This may galvanize Republicans - who were already more likely to show up at the polls in reaction to having a Democratic president - while also potentially repelling some independents who backed Biden last November. Recent polls from USA Today/Suffolk University, Fox News and The Washington Post/Schar School found Biden’s approval rating in the mid-to-low 40s.

Headed into the election, Biden’s approval rating sits at about 43 percent and his disapproval rating at about 51 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker. And thanks to an unpopular Democratic president in the White House, the electoral environment currently favors the GOP.

1 But on the other hand, this D+5 state, according to FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean, 2 is still very susceptible to shifts in the national environment. It voted for President Biden by 10 points in 2020, and it has elected a Democrat in every statewide election dating back to 2012. On one hand, the competitiveness of the race is a bit surprising as Virginia has leaned Democratic in recent years. And the race is pretty much tied, according to FiveThirtyEight’s Virginia polling average, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if either candidate comes out on top. Terry McAuliffe and Republican businessman Glenn Youngkin are vying to be the commonwealth’s next governor. Tuesday’s main event will happen in Virginia, where Democratic former Gov.